Allison Transmission Holdings Stock Performance

ALSN Stock  USD 115.63  1.88  1.65%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Allison Transmission holds a performance score of 28. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.97, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Allison Transmission returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Allison Transmission is expected to follow. Please check Allison Transmission's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Allison Transmission's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Allison Transmission Holdings are ranked lower than 28 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Allison Transmission displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.65
Five Day Return
6.57
Year To Date Return
16.87
Ten Year Return
390.79
All Time Return
394.15
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0093
Payout Ratio
0.1729
Forward Dividend Rate
1.08
Dividend Date
2025-12-05
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-21
1
Dana and Allison Announce All Required Regulatory Approvals Received for Off-Highway Business Transaction
11/19/2025
2
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. A Bull Case Theory - Yahoo Finance Canada
12/04/2025
 
Allison Transmission dividend paid on 5th of December 2025
12/05/2025
3
Wedge Capital Management L L P NC Has 14.18 Million Stock Holdings in Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. ALSN
12/22/2025
4
Insider Trading
12/31/2025
5
Will Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. stock outperform international peers - IPO Watch Verified Momentum Stock Alerts - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
6
Stocks Generating Improved Relative Strength Allison Transmission
01/12/2026
7
How Allisons New Two-Unit Structure and Off-Highway Leadership Shift At Allison Transmission Holdings Has Changed Its Investment Story
01/14/2026
8
BofA Securities raises Allison Transmission stock price target to 92 from 77 - Investing.com
01/23/2026
9
ALSN or RACE Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now
01/27/2026
10
Is Allison Transmission Offering Attractive Value After Recent Share Price Stability
01/30/2026
11
Allison Transmission Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates Can the Stock Move Higher
02/03/2026
12
Electric Vehicles Update - Advancements and Innovations in Commercial Vehicle Technology Unveiled
02/04/2026
13
GM Quietly Brings Back A Badge It Tried To Erase From Its Heavy Duty Trucks
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow555 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-147 M

Allison Transmission Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8,250  in Allison Transmission Holdings on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,313  from holding Allison Transmission Holdings or generate 40.16% return on investment over 90 days. Allison Transmission Holdings is currently generating 0.5581% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.5778% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Allison, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Allison Transmission is expected to generate 1.94 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.94 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.35 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Allison Transmission Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Allison Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 115.63 90 days 115.63 
nearly 4.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allison Transmission to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.83 (This Allison Transmission Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Allison Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Allison Transmission has a beta of 0.97. This suggests Allison Transmission Holdings market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Allison Transmission is expected to follow. Additionally Allison Transmission Holdings has an alpha of 0.4643, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Allison Transmission Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Allison Transmission

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allison Transmission. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allison Transmission's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.83116.41117.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.07120.34121.92
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
104.47114.80127.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.432.632.83
Details

Allison Transmission Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allison Transmission is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allison Transmission's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allison Transmission Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allison Transmission within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
11.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.29

Allison Transmission Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allison Transmission for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allison Transmission can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Allison Transmission has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from carscoops.com: GM Quietly Brings Back A Badge It Tried To Erase From Its Heavy Duty Trucks

Allison Transmission Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allison Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allison Transmission's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allison Transmission's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding88 M
Cash And Short Term Investments781 M

Allison Transmission Fundamentals Growth

Allison Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Allison Transmission, and Allison Transmission fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Allison Stock performance.

About Allison Transmission Performance

By examining Allison Transmission's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Allison Transmission's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Allison Transmission is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 61.01  42.98 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.27  0.23 
Return On Capital Employed 0.18  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.12  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.40  0.36 

Things to note about Allison Transmission performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Allison Transmission for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Allison Transmission help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Allison Transmission has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from carscoops.com: GM Quietly Brings Back A Badge It Tried To Erase From Its Heavy Duty Trucks
Evaluating Allison Transmission's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Allison Transmission's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Allison Transmission's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Allison Transmission's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Allison Transmission's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Allison Transmission's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Allison Transmission's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Allison Transmission's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Allison Transmission's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Allison Transmission's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Allison Transmission's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Allison Transmission offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Allison Transmission's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Allison Transmission Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Allison Transmission Holdings Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Allison Transmission Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Will Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Allison diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allison Transmission. If investors know Allison will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Allison Transmission data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.17
Dividend Share
1.06
Earnings Share
8.15
Revenue Per Share
36.212
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.204
Investors evaluate Allison Transmission using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Allison Transmission's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Allison Transmission's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Allison Transmission's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Allison Transmission represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Allison Transmission's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.